弱者的战争： 后冷战时代常规非对称冲突的特征与源起

　　章 概论··········································································· 001
　　本书的内容架构···························································· 019
　　第二章 小国非对称冲突理论概述············································· 021
　　战争的理性主义解读··················································· 024
　　非对称冲突理论························································· 028
　　小国的安全策略························································· 033
　　小国的作战策略························································· 037
　　冲突条件列表···························································· 042
　　第三章 运用定性比较分析法（QCA）阐释冲突的发展途径········· 051
　　非对称冲突分析的操作化············································· 058
　　1.1 案例选择······························································ 059
　　1.2 争端结果······························································ 064
　　1.3 冲突条件······························································ 065
　　1.4 分配分值······························································
　　小国选择冲突的途径··················································· 069
　　讨论······································································· 076
　　第四章 伊拉克：与美国及三十三个盟国的军事冲突···················· 084
　　海湾危机的传统解读··················································· 085
　　必要条件：经济危机·················································· 092
　　2.1 两伊战争意外失利··················································· 092
　　2.2 经济危机······························································ 094
　　2.3 政权形象崩溃························································· 101
　　2.4 库尔德问题··························································· 102
　　异常信念：INUS 条件················································ 103
　　3.1 霍布斯主义世界观·············································· 104
　　3.2 暴力倾向······························································ 105
　　3.3 自恋主义······························································ 111
　　3.4 心理异常······························································ 113
　　3.5 对于美国的错误认识················································· 115
　　等。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

　　马林科·波维奇是一位塞尔维亚裔加拿大学者，现任教于位于荷兰莱顿大学海牙校区的安全及国际事务学院，主讲国际关系与外交硕士课程。波维奇曾在意大利特伦托大学获得国际关系博士学位，并在莱顿大学获得国际关系及外交硕士学位。波维奇主攻国家战略、地缘政治、冲突与资源、有组织犯罪以及争议地区等方面的研究，著作包括《俄罗斯的领土争端战略》、《跨国有组织犯罪与恐怖主义》、《意大利黑手党：发展中国家的暴力产业》、《从发展角度再探世界系统分析》、《叛乱、内战与国际支持》以及《情绪可视化：国歌与战争》等学术书籍及论文。此前，波维奇曾任职于多国政府部门及非政府组织，负责实用政策分析、咨询、政策监督以及兵棋推演等工作内容。波维奇能够流利地运用英语、塞尔维亚语、克罗地亚语以及波斯尼亚语进行沟通及写作。

　　导致冲突的途径不止一条;2. 大国威胁并非全部;3. 小国也有可能获胜;4. 信念与现实的调和。